Much is being made about the 12% decline in new vehicle sales in Alberta this past December.  It is being attributed to the price of “Western Canadian Select” oil collapsing in the fall of 2018 and the Notely NDP Governments response to it.  Also, Oshawa Ontario’s GM plant closure has caused much news relating to how many vehicles are sold in Ontario and how the plant closure will affect GM sales going forward.

We wanted to know what the numbers really were and so we dug into the Statistics Canada public database via the Alberta Governments new Economic Dashboard and here is what we found.

 

As you can see yes, Alberta did have a major drop in new vehicle sales in December but much less than other Canadian Provinces like Manitoba.

We also found that Ontario has been increasing it’s share of new passenger vehicle sales since the economic collapse in 2008 which makes it particularly sensitive for major manufacturers like General Motors.


Here are the raw numbers if you want to play with them yourself:

Ontario Percentage of New Passenger Vehicle Sales

YearOntarioAll of CanadaPercent of Sales
1997549423142438038.6%
1998570528142893239.9%
1999645470154204141.9%
2000660820158756141.6%
2001647300159796440.5%
2002689668173331839.8%
2003629774162646838.7%
2004600928157519538.1%
2005586022154829137.8%
2006620649166632737.2%
2007605799169053835.8%
2008592088167414535.4%
2009542609148485636.5%
2010586633158449937.0%
2011600668162057737.1%
2012632066171680336.8%
2013656684177646137.0%
2014732718189038738.8%
2015778716193951740.1%
2016821762198374541.4%
2017857155207694541.3%
2018862307203573242.4%

New Vehicle Sales in Alberta and In the Canadian Population

YearAlberta New Vehicle SalesAlberta PopulationCanadian PopulationCanadian New Vehicle Sales
199716767128475265.9%2714726414243805.2%
199816339529157815.6%2731585814289325.2%
199916083829666825.4%2752542415420415.6%
200017554630169475.8%2776702215875615.7%
200118786330783366.1%2805078315979645.7%
200220480631449266.5%2830683817333186.1%
200319445131978586.1%2854001116264685.7%
200419615332605906.0%2877936915751955.5%
200521071033467546.3%2900721415482915.3%
200624873134539447.2%2922676816663275.7%
200725705035334137.3%2946872516905385.7%
200823841336192926.6%2975312616741455.6%
200918676836943035.1%3006277414848564.9%
201020453737472265.5%3038445715844995.2%
201122414738077265.9%3065027216205775.3%
201224778539003336.4%3093567517168035.5%
201326322440109036.6%3120096317764615.7%
201427719141060566.8%3145299118903876.0%
201524197641595195.8%3166337519395176.1%
201622365142100525.3%3204605519837456.2%
201724881342626425.8%3245001620769456.4%
201823679843302065.5%3291236520357326.2%

New Passenger Vehicle Sales In Canada by Province 1997 – 2018

AlbertaSaskManitobaBCQuebecOntarioNova ScotiaNew BrunswickPEINFLCanada
1997167671425214756216442635224954942338423364034717209851424380
1998163395360564305814749736400757052840382379814556214721428932
1999160838347754335915721338594064547043374418494802244211542041
2000175546366824266616777039037466082044152407904902238591587561
2001187863383544330417260639775764730043311381854635246491597964
2002204806415854930919513243361968966847476409374996257901733318
2003194451411454606218092442018562977446360374084731254281626468
2004196153388224533118160540508160092845164345174696228981575195
2005210710374594427317638238817158602244039326484645239421548291
2006248731399154592419464840419862064947738354034933241881666327
2007257050455464709920159641340560579949187372935303282601690538
2008238413494804802918208043515559208852426395225504314481674145
2009186768448934399515283039657454260947872352745286287551484856
2010204537475994535515665641984758663347643387775783316691584499
2011224147510784854616058241354560066845897395035795308161620577
2012247785565175223617631942307663206648703398956600336061716803
2013263224591375627518483841947265668452544415127336354391776461
2014277191584345778319790342682173271853886426567555354401890387
2015241976551315798621125945166277871655057447357976350191939517
2016223651520995742822177246514382176254451449848768336871983745
2017248813562926319723709246881085715558947448018587332512076945
2018236798501926790022534646108786230752789413117736302662035732

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